dave333 10 hours ago

Medicare should spend 1% of its budget each year to buy pharma stocks. Slowly it will become neutral to drug prices since what it pays for expensive drugs will be returned in the stock value.

  • Jensson an hour ago

    > Medicare should spend 1% of its budget each year to buy pharma stocks

    People would just raise the price for pharma stocks then.

    Maybe that is a good thing since it would make it harder to buy pharma stocks for others, but the government will still pay too mcuh.

    • dave333 14 minutes ago

      Like quantitative easing raises the whole market? Govt would dollar cost average at least and can spread out buys to avoid front running. Larger market cap with investors holding for the long term helps increase the R&D spend and timeframes.

  • the_third_wave 5 hours ago

    No, slowly it will pay out on one side and get back a bit on the other until it becomes a major stock holder and the whole house of cards collapses.

    • dave333 5 hours ago

      Why would it collapse? Can limit govt holdings to say 25% of each company to maintain profit motive. I think this would attract other investment - front running the govt money - and greatly increase the ability to research new drugs. Can also direct some research money into drugs with significant benefit but little profit. Over time increased investment would allow lower prices. Over time compounding would help fund medicare.

onewheeltom 2 hours ago

Our health care system is a profit making enterprise with medical care as a side effect

bradlys 2 hours ago

If you’re someone who is interested in these drugs, just know that you can get them from China for 1/10th the cost of what telehealth providers want. I’ve since supplied a few of my friends who have been interested in various peptides and it has been great overall. Some thought it would be a scam or bunk but they’re losing the weight with no side effects. It’s been great.

deadbabe 12 hours ago

Can someone please explain the economics of GLP-1s? How can people pay $1000/month for the rest of their life, just to keep weight off? Rent and mortgages are already insane as is, and then there’s insurance, kids, etc.

  • dragonwriter 12 hours ago

    > How can people pay $1000/month for the rest of their life

    No one actually pays that price. The $1000 misrepresented in the article as the "usual insurance price" is actually the list price, from which insurers negotiate discounts (that is, the full price -- not just the out of pocket price charged to the insured -- for insured patients is significantly less than that $1000 price), while most people who get the drug outside of insurance get it through some program (if it is the actual, brand-name drug, run by the manufacturer) that also charges much less than the list price.

    • dazzaji 10 hours ago

      > No one actually pays that price. The $1000 misrepresented in the article…

      With respect, that is absolutely incorrect. People absolutely pay over $1000 and do so monthly. For example, Kaiser of Northern California makes it very difficult for their doctors to prescribe these, and nearly impossible to get a prescription for Monjaro (which is particularly effective). Therefore, Kaiser patients/insured for whom these drugs are of immense benefit but who must have their prescriptions from out of network physicians receive ZERO insurance coverage. This means they get neither the negotiated insurance price discount nor any co-pay on the full cost. I am directly aware of this. And it is a travesty. Yet the benefits of these drugs is so significant and uniquely available through these drugs that in a sense, if it is possible to pay, then pay one must. Because in effect they are invaluable.

    • scarab92 11 hours ago

      It seems like the entire US medical system runs on prices that no one actually pays.

      I don't really understand what all that extra complexity achieves?

      • MathMonkeyMan 11 hours ago

        It hinders individuals from making purchasing decisions that affect price. Less clarity on the actual price means that it's harder to shop around.

      • jandrewrogers 9 hours ago

        The US government requires that they receive the lowest public price for any medical care they pay for. Unfortunately, the US government is a very expensive customer to work with for many reasons. By sandbagging costs with very high public prices, it gives healthcare providers the latitude to, after various hidden discounts, charge the government more than private sector customers that actually cost them less to serve.

        It is a perverse incentive created by the government insisting on the lowest price but having a very high overhead cost to deal with relative to everyone else that has to be paid for. Far from ideal but that is where we are. Quite a few fake prices in regulated markets can be explained by the government requiring that they receive the lowest price while incurring an unusually high cost overhead to the vendor.

      • PeterHolzwarth 9 hours ago

        It's confusing, but each payer (insurance companies) negotiates a series of prices for things. Each one is a unique, bespoke, business deal -- and this is why prices are never clear: the cost of something is unique to the deal hammered out by an individual insurance company and individual health care provider networks.

        Different payers will come up with their own unique take on health care coverage prices, favoring some things (lower costs) over others. Some may favor prenatal care and maternity, some may favor meat-and-potatoes basic health needs over specific categories of care. Larger payers may get a percentage point or two average-over-everything lower, smaller ones may favor a particular subcategory to create what they feel is a "good enough but still competitive in some key marketable categories" package. Each one is bespoke and quite varied.

        From the outside, it can look insane: you walk into a hospital and ask how much a procedure costs, and the person at the desk is honestly confused and honestly has no answer. The reason? The cost is entirely relative to the cost structure package hammered out by a specific insurance company - there isn't really a fixed "cost" per se.

      • r58lf 10 hours ago

        PBRs have contracts with medical insurance. They get paid based on how much money they "save" the insurance company.

        "Save" is defined as list price minus contracted price that the insurance pays for the drug.

        PBRs manipulate the list price to be higher so that they "save" the insurance company more money.

        They also manipulate the co-pays so that patients will choose drugs that "save" the most, as opposed to the lowest price drug.

        • michtzik 7 hours ago

          If you use an abbreviation like PBR, it helps to either explain what it means or use the correct one. Do you mean PBM = pharmacy benefit manager?

      • Centigonal 10 hours ago

        The US healthcare system is a patchwork of policy, local incentives, and unchecked capitalism that barely works, some of the time. You can read intent into it, but it's really just a big mass of inscrutable complexity.

        That said, a lot of the time, inentionally or not, the answer is "it facilitates the transfer of money to the shareholders of the big private health insurance companies"

        • from-nibly 4 hours ago

          > unchecked capitalism

          Of all the industries in the US Health Care is the MOST regulated. How on earth is that "unchecked"? The problem is the checks are (and always will be) written by the companies.

          • Centigonal an hour ago

            you're right, I really should have said "poorly regulated capitalism." My comment on "unchecked capitalism" was more of a commentary on the lack of trustbusting for vertically integrated behemoths like UHG/OptumHealth/Optum PBM/OptumRX and for regional near-monopolies like UPMC.

            Healthcare has a lot of regulations, for sure, but it adds a lot of complexity doesn't result in a good system for users -- so, bad regulation. OTOH, I think FSI regulations like Glass-Steagall and Dodd-Frank, as well as regulatory agencies like the SEC and CFPB (gasp!), have been huge successes for retail users of banks and financial markets -- so, better regulation.

      • kashnote 11 hours ago

        The sellers can write it off as a loss. It’s a way to avoid paying taxes

        • nazcan 11 hours ago

          What does this mean? You don't get to write off the difference between your "target price" and actual sale price.

          And a reminder that companies always do better if they make more money, not point in purposeful losses (unless you are getting a side benefit like goodwill from charity).

          • chneu 8 hours ago

            I think, but am not sure, the point they're trying to make is that hospitals and insurance companies can "charge" really high prices and then they can forgve those high prices in exchange for a tax break?

            That's not at all how it works so they don't have any idea what they're talking about. This is like when people say businesses can "write it off on their taxes". Only people who don't know what that really means say it.

  • oatmeal_croc 12 hours ago

    Few people actually pay 1000/month. Most get it through insurance (I pay 25/month), and most of the remaining get it through compounding pharmacies like HenryMeds which comes out to 300-400 per month.

    In fact, I know a few people who get brand pills (Rybelsus) mailed from India, where it's much cheaper. This insane pricing is a US only thing.

    • alabastervlog 12 hours ago

      Further, as noted in TFA, it’s possible to get higher doses at the same or almost the same price, though a compounding pharmacy, because pricing is basically the same no matter the dose (the materials are dirt cheap, the drug is very cheap to make, so they sell “the drug’s effect at however much you need” not “this amount of the drug”, basically) and then stretch it by taking smaller amounts than prescribed, or split a prescription with someone else.

    • doctorpangloss 12 hours ago

      Rybelsus doesn’t work.

      • oatmeal_croc 12 hours ago

        Of course it does, it is just much less effective than the injectable versions.

  • alabastervlog 12 hours ago

    1) Any number of ways, they don’t pay that much. Or,

    2) They’re rich. Not even that rich. I mean hell we paid $1,500/month for two kids to go to preschool, for years, and that sucked but we could still save. And we had a household income of like $130k or so at the time. Doing fine, not saying we didn’t have alright income, but not that uncommon. Now imagine a two-FAANG income like many folks on here. $1,000/month, even times two, is entirely within reach for them. Also,

    3) You can go off it for periods and just go back on if the weight starts to creep up. Anyone who’s successfully maintained weight for periods in the past may be able to manage long stretches without it and not gain much. And further,

    4) It’s not going to cost that much for long, in the scheme of things. The price will likely settle in the tens of dollars per month when the patents expire.

    • novemp 11 hours ago

      > And we had a household income of like $130k or so at the time. Doing fine, not saying we didn’t have alright income, but not that uncommon.

      Americans with six-figure incomes seriously don't understand the rest of the country lives.

      • dingnuts 2 hours ago

        he said household, that could easily be two incomes, both way below six figures

    • timewizard 11 hours ago

      > but not that uncommon

      Taking in nearly double over the average household income is, by definition, uncommon.

      • alabastervlog 4 hours ago

        JFC HN, I hedge and demure about as much as I reasonably can without distractingly and pointlessly (anyone can Google) turning the post into a dissertation on median household income percentiles and still someone complains. This is poor reading, and poor posting.

        The first year of that, about 20% of households were around our level of income or higher. We could have covered $1,500 in daycare without much trouble at a somewhat lower level of income, so say 25% could cover $1,000/m without driving themselves into a really, really bad place financially, provided they’ve not already committed that to other things (expensive car payments, they have very young kids in daycare, whatever)

        Neither 20% nor 25% are uncommon.

        If you’re thinking “well that’s just coastal cities dragging the stats up” then check stats on 3rd-tier but not-notoriously-poor cities and see what they look like. In the flyover state city fitting that description we lived in at the time, the local household income percentile distribution roughly matched the national one.

        That’s a TAM of people who can afford $1,000/month for something they really want of, what, 50 million or more adults in the US? And that’s at full sticker price, which few are paying.

        How much more than one-in-five before a category of person is not uncommon?

      • yimby2001 11 hours ago

        I think that’s a pretty average income for a couple with two children

        • jwiz 11 hours ago

          Median household income is like $80k

        • novemp 9 hours ago

          In San Francisco, maybe.

          • disgruntledphd2 3 hours ago

            Yeah but the OP lives there, and many people around them make similar or more, so it seems normal.

            This is incredibly common in many parts of life, humans gonna human I guess.

  • jandrewrogers 12 hours ago

    Americans are wealthy and don’t even realize it. The median household has >$1000 left over each month after all ordinary expenses against income, per the US government’s own data and statistics. Not everyone can afford it but a large percentage can. They may value this more than many other things they can waste that excess income on.

    The drugs are only going to get cheaper with time.

    • chneu 8 hours ago

      It's easy for Americans to think they're poor when half the country buys into a false version of reality where crime is rampant, the economy is constantly failing and welfare queens are eating your dogs.

  • ergonaught 12 hours ago

    Most people I know using it were using insurance, so paying much less than that, however for many of them the insurance companies are dropping coverage for it. That had pushed some to the compounding, and thus ozempocalypse as that avenue is removed as well.

  • woleium 12 hours ago

    They don’t. If you live outside of the USA it is cheaper (e.g. 400 cad a month in Canada)

    The article also mentions the grey market, where you can buy a year’s worth of power from China for a couple hundred bucks. You do need to be able mix it up properly though.

  • unsnap_biceps 12 hours ago

    I can afford 1k/month and will if that's what's required. My life is well over 1k/month better with a healthier weight. I preform better at work, I'm happier, and I should live longer. That's worth the money.

    • the_third_wave 5 hours ago

      Or you eat less and/or healthier food to achieve the same result without the side effects. Spend part of that $1000 (but not too much) on better food which you (or someone in your family) prepares at home, keep the rest for other purposes.

      For some reason this suggestion, i.e. the suggestion to solve a problem by eliminating the root causes, does not seem to be popular on this forum. I'd very much like to know why this is given that this place is supposedly frequented by rational people. If eating too much unhealthy food is making you fat you don't solve that by putting a chemical stopper in your veins, you solve it by eating less of the bad stuff.

      • trogdor 2 hours ago

        I don’t think anyone here disagrees with the premise that fat people can lose weight by eating fewer calories than they expend. What you are missing is that — for many people — your solution is akin to telling an alcoholic to just drink less. Yes, it would solve their problem, but for a variety of reasons it’s probably not gonna happen.

        Most fat people who want to lose weight have already tried eating less food. Just like many alcoholics have tried to cut down or stop drinking. Some of those people succeed, but many others don’t. The reasons why are far more complex than commitment and willpower.

      • JoeAltmaier 2 hours ago

        Deliberately disingenuous? Pretending it's a diet problem, and not a psychological one.

        Try this experiment: put a gun to your head and pull the trigger. You may find it hard. Your hand may shake; you will start sweating; rising panic will cloud your thinking.

        But it's so easy! Just a couple pounds of pressure on the trigger. Anybody can do it.

        That's me substituting a physiological problem for a psychological one.

  • noduerme 12 hours ago

    Knowing a couple people who've done it, they do it for a few months to lose weight, then stop taking it and try not to gain the weight back. I don't know anyone who's chosen to go on it permanently.

    • SkyPuncher 12 hours ago

      I'm doing essentially right now. Not big by any means, but loosing 20 to 30 pounds would be amazing for my joints.

      For me, I've been at a stable weight for over a decade. I figure if I can drop down over a few months, I can stay at my target weight.

    • Mutjake 10 hours ago

      Well, it’s a medication designed for diabetes (the weight loss variant has a higher dosage and different brand name, Wegowy or so), and for diabetes the usage is, by default, permanent. Unless it is replaced by other medication or if the lifestyle changes make the insulin resistance not be an issue any more.

    • doctorpangloss 12 hours ago

      The drugs have been cheaply and widely available for a little over 17 months, and by some measures, about 1/3rd of patients prescribed semaglutide or tirzepatide are forecasted to be using either permanently.

  • bsder 12 hours ago

    People who need statins are on them for the rest of their life. People who need blood pressure regulators are on them for the rest of their life.

    Why should GLP-1s be any different?

    • toast0 11 hours ago

      There are a lot of very inexpensive statins and blood pressure drugs (not all of them, of course).

      $1000/month seems like a lot. Although if you end up eating significantly less, there's some savings there.

      • lotsofpulp 11 hours ago

        Theoretically, a lot (most?) of healthcare costs are downstream of being overweight. Going to the doctor for diabetes, hypertension, knee problems, and the long term effects of those might be less costly than a constant subscription to purchase GLP-1s.

        Bonus is you no longer crave expensive sugary or alcoholic drinks and food.

jmward01 11 hours ago

This is actively improving health outcomes for millions of people so of course insurance won't cover it and it is being taken away from consumers. If the shortage is over, why does it cost $1k or even $500? Sounds like there is still a shortage to me. I guess vaccines are out but price gouging is still in in the US healthcare system.

  • monkburger 11 hours ago

    Profits over patients.

    Pharmacies have to have crazy high prices though because PBMs reimburse at such shit rates, based on some percentage of the price given to them. Because if they buy the bottle at $30 and list the price at $60, the PBM contract will only reimburse at the adjusted wholesale price (another made up number), eg: 17% plus a $1.99 dispensing fee. This disgusting math results in getting a loss on the drug.

    Even all this leaves out some of the most absurd abuses of PBMs. They set minimum drug copays, have the pharmacy collect a $15 copay for a $5 drug, and have the pharmacy pay the PMB the $10 difference. They make it a breach of contract for the pharmacy to inform the patient this is happening or to charge the $5 and bypass the insurance. The total lack of anything even approaching ethnics is absurd...

    • scarab92 10 hours ago

      How should this system work, in an ideal world?

      • monkburger 4 hours ago

        Just force price transparency. Force drug makers to advertise the selling prices of their drugs, and enforce price discrimination laws. Force insurance and PBM companies to advertise the drug prices if purchased through insurance or PBM. Everybody should be paying the same price. And if not, everyone should be allowed to find out if they can pay a lower price.

        And yes, get rid of PBMs. They are toxic middlemen who want their 'cut' for doing nothing at all.

        See Gale (2023): https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10441264/

      • Centigonal 10 hours ago

        Short answer: Systems 1, 3, 12, or 23 in Figure 3 in this paper are pretty good options: https://eclass.ekdd.gr/esdda/modules/document/file.php/KST_B...

        This is an extremely politicized question in the US, where a public health insurance option (a solution that's popular in much of the rest of the OECD) is fiercely opposed by a large swath of the population.

        At the very least though, in an ideal world, payers, providers, pharmacies, and PBMs should not be allowed to be part of the same company.

  • kcplate 3 hours ago

    My insurance covers it, but it depends on why it’s prescribed.

doctorpangloss 12 hours ago

The status quo was pretty good for the FDA. Lily and Novo Nordisk still saw major stock price rises. Patients had super cheap drug options for something that would free up lots of money for non-medical spending in the economy. Why does an administration ruling via EO not keep the compounding loophole? It aligns with their goals. IMO, the compounders need to turn this into a media sound bite sized win for politicians. Because it certainly doesn’t make any scientific or objective medical sense to cease the compounding.

wewewedxfgdf 12 hours ago

I'm far from convinced that some random "compounding pharmacy" produces effectively the same thing as Ozempic.

  • unsnap_biceps 12 hours ago

    Compounding pharmacies existed before Ozempic and their entire business model is producing custom drugs at reasonable prices. For Ozempic, they order the GLP-1 peptides from a large Pharma company and then mix it to order with bacteriostatic water and any other additives. Mine includes a B-12 compound that is attempting to help with the weight loss. They are highly regulated and require trained and licensed employees. The compounding pharmacies I don't trust are the ones that only started to do Ozempic and nothing else. But I do trust my local one. They've made me medication for my animals for decades now.

    • wozniacki 11 hours ago

      Is there a compounding pharmacy aggregator online youve found trustworthy?

    • michtzik 7 hours ago

      > They are highly regulated and require trained and licensed employees. The compounding pharmacies I don't trust are the ones that only started to do Ozempic and nothing else.

      We already know that the compounding pharmacies violate patent law. Why should I believe they follow any other regulation?

  • trogdor 2 hours ago

    Some of those pharmacies were using crushed Rybelsus as their source for semaglutude.

  • oatmeal_croc 12 hours ago

    The thing is, GLP-1 isn't that hard to make, and these compounding pharmacies make effectively the real thing.

    • SkyPuncher 12 hours ago

      Even further, most drugs aren't _that hard_ to manufacturer.

      The hard part is discovering them and proving they're safe and effective.

  • timewizard 11 hours ago

    What do you believe is different between their process and the patent holders?

    • trilbyglens 10 hours ago

      They don't need to recoup their investments in discovery and regulatory approval.

      • timewizard 8 hours ago

        What do we believe the discovery pathway was? Billions of dollars spent by heady businessmen with a keen eye for the molecules of interest? Hardly:

        https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2415550121

        And this type of drug lends itself to some of the least expensive trials you can hope for. The dosage level, expected dosing period, and measurement of outcomes are all uniquely well suited to inexpensive study. The trials were also exceedingly fast and quickly broke off into testing for all kinds of conditions such as Parkinsons but for the core case of weight loss it was as easy as it gets.